Correct-outcome rate for each market, across all competitions with a verified result.
Rate per column on the leagues followed with full editorial analysis. Columns are listed in decreasing order of reliability.
Seasons covered: 3 · Updated on 20/07/2026
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Difficulty | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico M.G. – Bahiabrasileirao1-1 | No Gol 1T | 1,15 | Difficulty Low | Prediction No Gol 1T on Atletico M.G. – Bahia: won, result 1-1 |
| Avai – America Mineiroserie b brazil2-1 | No Gol 1T | 1,10 | Difficulty Low | Prediction No Gol 1T on Avai – America Mineiro: won, result 2-1 |
| Novorizontino – Criciumaserie b brazil0-1 | No Gol 1T | 1,09 | Difficulty Low | Prediction No Gol 1T on Novorizontino – Criciuma: won, result 0-1 |
| Petrolero – Real Potosidivision profesional1-2 | 1X | 1,09 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 1X on Petrolero – Real Potosi: lost, result 1-2 |
| Vila Nova – Fortalezaserie b brazil2-1 | No Gol 1T | 1,12 | Difficulty Low | Prediction No Gol 1T on Vila Nova – Fortaleza: won, result 2-1 |
| Cruz Azul – Pueblaliga mx2-1 | No Gol 1T | 1,12 | Difficulty Low | Prediction No Gol 1T on Cruz Azul – Puebla: lost, result 2-1 |
| Toluca – UNAMliga mx1-2 | 12 | 1,19 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 12 on Toluca – UNAM: won, result 1-2 |
| Bodo Glimt – Ham Kameliteserien3-0 | 12 | 1,03 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 12 on Bodo Glimt – Ham Kam: won, result 3-0 |
| Lillestrom – Vikingeliteserien1-2 | Ov 1.5 | 1,14 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Lillestrom – Viking: won, result 1-2 |
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Difficulty | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico M.G. – Bahiabrasileirao1-1 | Ov 1.5 | 1,25 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Atletico M.G. – Bahia: won, result 1-1 |
| Avai – America Mineiroserie b brazil2-1 | Un 3.5 | 1,17 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Un 3.5 on Avai – America Mineiro: won, result 2-1 |
| Novorizontino – Criciumaserie b brazil0-1 | Un 3.5 | 1,15 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Un 3.5 on Novorizontino – Criciuma: won, result 0-1 |
| Petrolero – Real Potosidivision profesional1-2 | Ov 1.5 | 1,13 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Petrolero – Real Potosi: won, result 1-2 |
| Vila Nova – Fortalezaserie b brazil2-1 | Un 3.5 | 1,20 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Un 3.5 on Vila Nova – Fortaleza: won, result 2-1 |
| Cruz Azul – Pueblaliga mx2-1 | 12 | 1,12 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 12 on Cruz Azul – Puebla: won, result 2-1 |
| Toluca – UNAMliga mx1-2 | 2 | 4,40 | Difficulty High | Prediction 2 on Toluca – UNAM: won, result 1-2 |
| Bodo Glimt – Ham Kameliteserien3-0 | Ov 1.5 | 1,03 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Bodo Glimt – Ham Kam: won, result 3-0 |
| Lillestrom – Vikingeliteserien1-2 | No Gol 1T | 1,22 | Difficulty Low | Prediction No Gol 1T on Lillestrom – Viking: won, result 1-2 |
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Difficulty | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico M.G. – Bahiabrasileirao1-1 | Gol | 1,65 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Gol on Atletico M.G. – Bahia: won, result 1-1 |
| Avai – America Mineiroserie b brazil2-1 | 1X+Un 3.5 | 1,55 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 1X+Un 3.5 on Avai – America Mineiro: won, result 2-1 |
| Novorizontino – Criciumaserie b brazil0-1 | 1X+Un 3.5 | 1,50 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 1X+Un 3.5 on Novorizontino – Criciuma: lost, result 0-1 |
| Petrolero – Real Potosidivision profesional1-2 | Un 3.5 | 1,50 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Un 3.5 on Petrolero – Real Potosi: won, result 1-2 |
| Vila Nova – Fortalezaserie b brazil2-1 | 1X+Un 3.5 | 1,67 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 1X+Un 3.5 on Vila Nova – Fortaleza: won, result 2-1 |
| Cruz Azul – Pueblaliga mx2-1 | 1+Ov 1.5 | 1,50 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 1+Ov 1.5 on Cruz Azul – Puebla: won, result 2-1 |
| Bodo Glimt – Ham Kameliteserien3-0 | No Gol | 1,77 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction No Gol on Bodo Glimt – Ham Kam: won, result 3-0 |
| Lillestrom – Vikingeliteserien1-2 | 12+Ov 1.5 | 1,50 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 12+Ov 1.5 on Lillestrom – Viking: won, result 1-2 |
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Difficulty | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avai – America Mineiroserie b brazil2-1 | No Gol | 1,77 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction No Gol on Avai – America Mineiro: lost, result 2-1 |
| Novorizontino – Criciumaserie b brazil0-1 | 1X+Un 2.5 | 1,88 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 1X+Un 2.5 on Novorizontino – Criciuma: lost, result 0-1 |
| Petrolero – Real Potosidivision profesional1-2 | 1X+Ov 2.5 | 1,75 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 1X+Ov 2.5 on Petrolero – Real Potosi: lost, result 1-2 |
| Vila Nova – Fortalezaserie b brazil2-1 | No Gol | 1,90 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction No Gol on Vila Nova – Fortaleza: lost, result 2-1 |
| Cruz Azul – Pueblaliga mx2-1 | 12+Un 3.5 | 1,77 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 12+Un 3.5 on Cruz Azul – Puebla: won, result 2-1 |
| Lillestrom – Vikingeliteserien1-2 | 12+Ov 2.5 | 1,77 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 12+Ov 2.5 on Lillestrom – Viking: won, result 1-2 |
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Difficulty | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico M.G. – Bahiabrasileirao1-1 | 1 — Atletico M.G. Win | 1,85 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 1 on Atletico M.G. – Bahia: lost, result 1-1 |
| Avai – America Mineiroserie b brazil2-1 | 1 — Avai Win | 2,25 | Difficulty High | Prediction 1 on Avai – America Mineiro: won, result 2-1 |
| Novorizontino – Criciumaserie b brazil0-1 | 2 — Criciuma Win | 3,60 | Difficulty High | Prediction 2 on Novorizontino – Criciuma: won, result 0-1 |
| Petrolero – Real Potosidivision profesional1-2 | 1 — Petrolero Win | 1,55 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 1 on Petrolero – Real Potosi: lost, result 1-2 |
| Vila Nova – Fortalezaserie b brazil2-1 | 1 — Vila Nova Win | 2,45 | Difficulty High | Prediction 1 on Vila Nova – Fortaleza: won, result 2-1 |
| Cruz Azul – Pueblaliga mx2-1 | 1 — Cruz Azul Win | 1,33 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 1 on Cruz Azul – Puebla: won, result 2-1 |
| Toluca – UNAMliga mx1-2 | 1 — Toluca Win | 1,57 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 1 on Toluca – UNAM: lost, result 1-2 |
| Bodo Glimt – Ham Kameliteserien3-0 | 1 — Bodo Glimt Win | 1,07 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 1 on Bodo Glimt – Ham Kam: won, result 3-0 |
| Lillestrom – Vikingeliteserien1-2 | 2 — Viking Win | 2,10 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction 2 on Lillestrom – Viking: won, result 1-2 |
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Difficulty | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico M.G. – Bahiabrasileirao1-1 | 12 — Atletico M.G. or Bahia Win | 1,27 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 12 on Atletico M.G. – Bahia: lost, result 1-1 |
| Avai – America Mineiroserie b brazil2-1 | 1X — Draw or Avai Win | 1,28 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 1X on Avai – America Mineiro: won, result 2-1 |
| Novorizontino – Criciumaserie b brazil0-1 | 12 — Novorizontino or Criciuma Win | 1,35 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 12 on Novorizontino – Criciuma: won, result 0-1 |
| Petrolero – Real Potosidivision profesional1-2 | 1X — Draw or Petrolero Win | 1,12 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 1X on Petrolero – Real Potosi: lost, result 1-2 |
| Vila Nova – Fortalezaserie b brazil2-1 | 12 — Vila Nova or Fortaleza Win | 1,35 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 12 on Vila Nova – Fortaleza: won, result 2-1 |
| Cruz Azul – Pueblaliga mx2-1 | 1X — Draw or Cruz Azul Win | 1,06 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 1X on Cruz Azul – Puebla: won, result 2-1 |
| Toluca – UNAMliga mx1-2 | 1X — Draw or Toluca Win | 1,13 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 1X on Toluca – UNAM: lost, result 1-2 |
| Bodo Glimt – Ham Kameliteserien3-0 | 1X — Draw or Bodo Glimt Win | — | — | Prediction 1X on Bodo Glimt – Ham Kam: won, result 3-0 |
| Lillestrom – Vikingeliteserien1-2 | 12 — Lillestrom or Viking Win | 1,24 | Difficulty Low | Prediction 12 on Lillestrom – Viking: won, result 1-2 |
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Difficulty | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico M.G. – Bahiabrasileirao1-1 | Ov 1.5 — At Least 2 Goals | 1,24 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Atletico M.G. – Bahia: won, result 1-1 |
| Avai – America Mineiroserie b brazil2-1 | Ov 1.5 — At Least 2 Goals | 1,42 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Avai – America Mineiro: won, result 2-1 |
| Novorizontino – Criciumaserie b brazil0-1 | Ov 1.5 — At Least 2 Goals | 1,45 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Novorizontino – Criciuma: lost, result 0-1 |
| Petrolero – Real Potosidivision profesional1-2 | Un 1.5 — Maximum 1 Goal | 4,60 | Difficulty High | Prediction Un 1.5 on Petrolero – Real Potosi: lost, result 1-2 |
| Vila Nova – Fortalezaserie b brazil2-1 | Ov 1.5 — At Least 2 Goals | 1,35 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Vila Nova – Fortaleza: won, result 2-1 |
| Cruz Azul – Pueblaliga mx2-1 | Ov 1.5 — At Least 2 Goals | 1,15 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Cruz Azul – Puebla: won, result 2-1 |
| Toluca – UNAMliga mx1-2 | Ov 1.5 — At Least 2 Goals | 1,17 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Toluca – UNAM: won, result 1-2 |
| Bodo Glimt – Ham Kameliteserien3-0 | Ov 1.5 — At Least 2 Goals | 1,02 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Ov 1.5 on Bodo Glimt – Ham Kam: won, result 3-0 |
| Lillestrom – Vikingeliteserien1-2 | Un 1.5 — Maximum 1 Goal | 5,00 | Difficulty High | Prediction Un 1.5 on Lillestrom – Viking: lost, result 1-2 |
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Difficulty | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico M.G. – Bahiabrasileirao1-1 | Ov 2.5 — At Least 3 Goals | 1,80 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Ov 2.5 on Atletico M.G. – Bahia: lost, result 1-1 |
| Avai – America Mineiroserie b brazil2-1 | Ov 2.5 — At Least 3 Goals | 2,40 | Difficulty High | Prediction Ov 2.5 on Avai – America Mineiro: won, result 2-1 |
| Novorizontino – Criciumaserie b brazil0-1 | Ov 2.5 — At Least 3 Goals | 2,45 | Difficulty High | Prediction Ov 2.5 on Novorizontino – Criciuma: lost, result 0-1 |
| Petrolero – Real Potosidivision profesional1-2 | Un 2.5 — Maximum 2 Goals | 2,30 | Difficulty High | Prediction Un 2.5 on Petrolero – Real Potosi: lost, result 1-2 |
| Vila Nova – Fortalezaserie b brazil2-1 | Ov 2.5 — At Least 3 Goals | 2,20 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Ov 2.5 on Vila Nova – Fortaleza: won, result 2-1 |
| Cruz Azul – Pueblaliga mx2-1 | Ov 2.5 — At Least 3 Goals | 1,55 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Ov 2.5 on Cruz Azul – Puebla: won, result 2-1 |
| Toluca – UNAMliga mx1-2 | Ov 2.5 — At Least 3 Goals | 1,60 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Ov 2.5 on Toluca – UNAM: won, result 1-2 |
| Bodo Glimt – Ham Kameliteserien3-0 | Un 2.5 — Maximum 2 Goals | 4,00 | Difficulty High | Prediction Un 2.5 on Bodo Glimt – Ham Kam: lost, result 3-0 |
| Lillestrom – Vikingeliteserien1-2 | Un 2.5 — Maximum 2 Goals | 2,45 | Difficulty High | Prediction Un 2.5 on Lillestrom – Viking: lost, result 1-2 |
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Difficulty | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico M.G. – Bahiabrasileirao1-1 | Un 3.5 — Maximum 3 Goals | 1,33 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Un 3.5 on Atletico M.G. – Bahia: won, result 1-1 |
| Avai – America Mineiroserie b brazil2-1 | Ov 3.5 — At Least 4 Goals | 4,50 | Difficulty High | Prediction Ov 3.5 on Avai – America Mineiro: lost, result 2-1 |
| Novorizontino – Criciumaserie b brazil0-1 | Ov 3.5 — At Least 4 Goals | 4,60 | Difficulty High | Prediction Ov 3.5 on Novorizontino – Criciuma: lost, result 0-1 |
| Petrolero – Real Potosidivision profesional1-2 | Un 3.5 — Maximum 3 Goals | 1,50 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Un 3.5 on Petrolero – Real Potosi: won, result 1-2 |
| Vila Nova – Fortalezaserie b brazil2-1 | Un 3.5 — Maximum 3 Goals | 1,17 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Un 3.5 on Vila Nova – Fortaleza: won, result 2-1 |
| Cruz Azul – Pueblaliga mx2-1 | Un 3.5 — Maximum 3 Goals | 1,47 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Un 3.5 on Cruz Azul – Puebla: won, result 2-1 |
| Toluca – UNAMliga mx1-2 | Un 3.5 — Maximum 3 Goals | 1,45 | Difficulty Low | Prediction Un 3.5 on Toluca – UNAM: won, result 1-2 |
| Bodo Glimt – Ham Kameliteserien3-0 | Un 3.5 — Maximum 3 Goals | 2,20 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Un 3.5 on Bodo Glimt – Ham Kam: won, result 3-0 |
| Lillestrom – Vikingeliteserien1-2 | Un 3.5 — Maximum 3 Goals | 1,57 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Un 3.5 on Lillestrom – Viking: won, result 1-2 |
| Match | Prediction | Odds | Difficulty | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico M.G. – Bahiabrasileirao1-1 | Gol — Both Teams to Score | 1,67 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Gol on Atletico M.G. – Bahia: won, result 1-1 |
| Avai – America Mineiroserie b brazil2-1 | Gol — Both Teams to Score | 2,00 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Gol on Avai – America Mineiro: won, result 2-1 |
| Novorizontino – Criciumaserie b brazil0-1 | Gol — Both Teams to Score | 2,05 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Gol on Novorizontino – Criciuma: lost, result 0-1 |
| Petrolero – Real Potosidivision profesional1-2 | No Gol — At Least One Team Does Not Score | 2,25 | Difficulty High | Prediction No Gol on Petrolero – Real Potosi: lost, result 1-2 |
| Vila Nova – Fortalezaserie b brazil2-1 | Gol — Both Teams to Score | 1,85 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Gol on Vila Nova – Fortaleza: won, result 2-1 |
| Cruz Azul – Pueblaliga mx2-1 | No Gol — At Least One Team Does Not Score | 1,87 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction No Gol on Cruz Azul – Puebla: lost, result 2-1 |
| Toluca – UNAMliga mx1-2 | Gol — Both Teams to Score | 1,60 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction Gol on Toluca – UNAM: won, result 1-2 |
| Bodo Glimt – Ham Kameliteserien3-0 | No Gol — At Least One Team Does Not Score | 1,65 | Difficulty Medium | Prediction No Gol on Bodo Glimt – Ham Kam: won, result 3-0 |
| Lillestrom – Vikingeliteserien1-2 | No Gol — At Least One Team Does Not Score | 2,65 | Difficulty High | Prediction No Gol on Lillestrom – Viking: lost, result 1-2 |
We publish two types of prediction. The algorithm predictions come from a probabilistic model that, for each match, estimates the probability of every outcome (1X2, double chance, under/over, both teams to score) and picks the selection with the best value. The studied predictions are our editorial columns: for the leagues we follow, an analyst builds up to four predictions per match in order of reliability.
The outcome check is automatic and objective: every prediction is compared with the real final result of the match, imported from official data. A prediction is "won" if the outcome occurred, "lost" otherwise. We neither rewrite nor hide anything after the fact: the rates above are the ratio between correct predictions and assessed predictions, over the entire available history.
A prediction is only worth something if whoever gives it also shows when they get it wrong. That is why next to every rate you'll find the sample size — how many predictions were assessed — and the losses, not just the wins: a high rate on a handful of matches counts for less than an honest rate over thousands of outcomes.
The rates for the studied predictions only concern the leagues with full editorial analysis; those for the algorithm cover all competitions with a verified result, to give a broad, unselected sample. Remember that no model guarantees a win: the archive is a transparency tool, not a promise of profit.
Reliability can only be measured over the long run: the scoreboard at the top of this page aggregates every prediction with a verified result, market by market, across multiple seasons. No cherry-picking: we count each published prediction, won or lost, and update the percentages after every completed matchday.
The exact figures live in the performance scoreboard, split by market: 1X2, double chance, under/over and both teams to score. Each value shows correct predictions over the total settled, computed from raw data across all covered competitions. Two-way markets such as double chance historically post the highest hit rates.
Studied predictions are ranked in columns of decreasing reliability: column #1 is the most likely selection for the match, while the next columns raise both odds and risk. The scoreboard shows the hit rate for each column, together with the sample of settled picks and the average winning odds.
In the history section of this page: browse the last 35 days using the previous day and next day links. For every match you get the prediction, the odds, the real final score and the won or lost outcome, both for studied picks and for the algorithm picks by market.
Verification is automatic: once a matchday ends, we match every published prediction against the official 90-minute result and mark it as won or lost. There is no manual editing after the fact: the scoreboard totals come from the same raw data that feeds the daily history.
The match-by-match history stays browsable for 35 days, the window that best reflects the recent form of the model. Older matchdays do not disappear: they flow into the scoreboard aggregates, which span multiple seasons and remain the most solid measure of overall performance.
