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La Liga Predictions Today: Analysis, Odds & Tips — Matchday 38

La Liga matchday 38 predictions: top picks today include Alaves-R. Vallecano: Draw or Alaves Win, Betis-Levante: Maximum 3 Goals and Celta Vigo-Siviglia: Draw or Celta Vigo Win. For each fixture, 4 picks ranked by probability — statistical model plus editorial review by Fil — with live 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS odds, alongside a live table. 78.2% accuracy on the top pick across 367 predictions this season.

Lost Alaves – R. Vallecano
1X @1.35
Draw or Alaves Win
Won Betis – Levante
Un 3.5 @1.47
Maximum 3 Goals
Won Celta Vigo – Siviglia
1X @1.17
Draw or Celta Vigo Win
Won Espanyol – R. Sociedad
Ov 1.5 @1.22
At Least 2 Goals
Last played 24/05/2026 · 21:00
Villarreal
Villarreal
5-1 (4-1)
A.Madrid
A.Madrid
Predictions outcome
12 @1.24 Ov 0.5 1T @1.21 Gol @1.40 Ov 2.5 @1.45

Which La Liga accumulator should you play in matchday 38: easy, balanced or hard?

For matchday 38 of La Liga we build 3 ready-made accumulators across the analysed matches: the Easy ticket combines the most likely picks for safer odds, the Balanced ticket trades risk for return, the Hard ticket targets bigger odds with riskier selections. Updated on May 25, 2026.

More La Liga coupons?

View all ready-made accumulators for this matchday, across every risk level.

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Which La Liga matches should you bet on in matchday 38?

For matchday 38 of La Liga, you get 10 matches with predictions on 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS markets. Each analysis combines Fil's editorial work with the statistical algorithm. Data updated on May 25, 2026.

Each match includes 4 picks from Fil, from #1 as the safest to #4 as the riskiest, together with odds, probabilities, team form, the last 5 rounds when available and links to deeper match analysis.

All 1X2 Over/Under BTTS Double Chance
Matchday 3823/05 · 21:00
Alaves
#14 · 43pt
1-2FT
R. Vallecano
#8 · 50pt

Alaves vs R. Vallecano prediction

Editorial prediction
1/4
WINNERS
#1
1X
Draw or Alaves Win
@1.35Lost
Show 3 more
#2
Ov 0.5 1T
At Least 1 Goal in 1st Half
@1.35Won
#3
1
Alaves Win
@2.30Lost
#4
1+Ov 2.5
Alaves Wins & At Least 3 Goals
@3.70Lost

Alaves vs R. Vallecano probability: 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS Yes/No

SuperPronostici probabilistic model
1/6
WINNERS
Match result136%
Lost
1
X
2
36%
35%
29%
Show 5 more
Over/Under 1.5Un 1.562%
Lost
Un 1.5
Ov 1.5
62%
38%
Over/Under 2.5Un 2.586%
Lost
Un 2.5
Ov 2.5
86%
14%
Over/Under 3.5Un 3.596%
Won
Un 3.5
Ov 3.5
96%
4%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)No (BTTS)58%
Lost
Yes (BTTS)
No (BTTS)
42%
58%
Double Chance1X71%
Lost
1X
12
X2
71%
65%
64%

Form & absences — Alaves vs R. Vallecano

Alaves#14
Scored in last 12 matches
LWWDL
R. Vallecano#8
Scored in last 7 matches · 2 wins in a row · Unbeaten in 5
WWDDW
Matchday 3823/05 · 21:00
Betis
#5 · 60pt
2-1FT
Levante
#16 · 42pt

Betis vs Levante prediction

Editorial prediction
2/4
WINNERS
#1
Un 3.5
Maximum 3 Goals
@1.47Won
Show 3 more
#2
X2
Draw or Levante Win
@1.60Lost
#3
Gol
Both Teams to Score
@1.47Won
#4
X
Draw
@3.25Lost

Betis vs Levante probability: 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS Yes/No

SuperPronostici probabilistic model
5/6
WINNERS
Match result139%
Won
1
X
2
39%
30%
31%
Show 5 more
Over/Under 1.5Ov 1.558%
Won
Un 1.5
Ov 1.5
42%
58%
Over/Under 2.5Un 2.569%
Lost
Un 2.5
Ov 2.5
69%
31%
Over/Under 3.5Un 3.586%
Won
Un 3.5
Ov 3.5
86%
14%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)Yes (BTTS)51%
Won
Yes (BTTS)
No (BTTS)
51%
49%
Double Chance1271%
Won
1X
12
X2
69%
71%
61%

Form & absences — Betis vs Levante

Betis#5
Scored in last 8 matches · 5 Over 2.5 in a row · 4 BTTS in a row
WLWDW
Levante#16
Scored in last 5 matches
LWWWL
Matchday 3823/05 · 21:00
Celta Vigo
#6 · 54pt
1-0FT
Siviglia
#13 · 43pt

Celta Vigo vs Siviglia prediction

Editorial prediction
4/4
WINNERS
#1
1X
Draw or Celta Vigo Win
@1.17Won
Show 3 more
#2
Un 3.5
Maximum 3 Goals
@1.30Won
#3
1
Celta Vigo Win
@1.75Won
#4
XH (1)
Celta Vigo Wins by 1 Goal e.g. 1-0, 2-1 etc.
@3.35Won

Celta Vigo vs Siviglia probability: 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS Yes/No

SuperPronostici probabilistic model
3/6
WINNERS
Match result243%
Lost
1
X
2
41%
16%
43%
Show 5 more
Over/Under 1.5Ov 1.569%
Lost
Un 1.5
Ov 1.5
31%
69%
Over/Under 2.5Un 2.557%
Won
Un 2.5
Ov 2.5
57%
43%
Over/Under 3.5Un 3.578%
Won
Un 3.5
Ov 3.5
78%
22%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)Yes (BTTS)64%
Lost
Yes (BTTS)
No (BTTS)
64%
36%
Double Chance1284%
Won
1X
12
X2
57%
84%
59%

Form & absences — Celta Vigo vs Siviglia

Celta Vigo#6
Scored in last 6 matches
WDLWW
Siviglia#13
2 losses in a row
LLWWW
Matchday 3823/05 · 21:00
Espanyol
#11 · 46pt
1-1FT
R. Sociedad
#10 · 46pt

Espanyol vs R. Sociedad prediction

Editorial prediction
2/4
WINNERS
#1
Ov 1.5
At Least 2 Goals
@1.22Won
Show 3 more
#2
X2
Draw or R. Sociedad Win
@1.50Won
#3
2
R. Sociedad Win
@2.80Lost
#4
2+Ov 1.5
R. Sociedad Wins & At Least 2 Goals
@3.50Lost

Espanyol vs R. Sociedad probability: 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS Yes/No

SuperPronostici probabilistic model
4/6
WINNERS
Match result140%
Lost
1
X
2
40%
35%
25%
Show 5 more
Over/Under 1.5Ov 1.554%
Won
Un 1.5
Ov 1.5
46%
54%
Over/Under 2.5Un 2.572%
Won
Un 2.5
Ov 2.5
72%
28%
Over/Under 3.5Un 3.589%
Won
Un 3.5
Ov 3.5
89%
11%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)No (BTTS)57%
Lost
Yes (BTTS)
No (BTTS)
43%
57%
Double Chance1X75%
Won
1X
12
X2
75%
65%
60%

Form & absences — Espanyol vs R. Sociedad

Espanyol#11
Scored in last 4 matches · Unbeaten in 3
DWWLL
R. Sociedad#10
Scored in last 4 matches · 4 BTTS in a row · Without a win in 5
DLDDL
Matchday 3823/05 · 21:00
Getafe
#7 · 51pt
1-0FT
Osasuna
#17 · 42pt

Getafe vs Osasuna prediction

Editorial prediction
3/4
WINNERS
#1
1X
Draw or Getafe Win
@1.27Won
Show 3 more
#2
Un 1.5 1T
Maximum 1 Goal in 1st Half
@1.24Won
#3
X 1T
Draw 1st Half
@1.85Won
#4
X
Draw
@2.60Lost

Getafe vs Osasuna probability: 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS Yes/No

SuperPronostici probabilistic model
6/6
WINNERS
Match result150%
Won
1
X
2
50%
15%
35%
Show 5 more
Over/Under 1.5Un 1.582%
Won
Un 1.5
Ov 1.5
82%
18%
Over/Under 2.5Un 2.596%
Won
Un 2.5
Ov 2.5
96%
4%
Over/Under 3.5Un 3.599%
Won
Un 3.5
Ov 3.5
99%
1%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)No (BTTS)72%
Won
Yes (BTTS)
No (BTTS)
28%
72%
Double Chance1285%
Won
1X
12
X2
65%
85%
50%

Form & absences — Getafe vs Osasuna

Getafe#7
WLWDL
Osasuna#17
5 losses in a row · Without a win in 5
LLLLL
Matchday 3823/05 · 21:00
Girona
#19 · 41pt
1-1FT
Elche
#15 · 43pt

Girona vs Elche prediction

Editorial prediction
2/4
WINNERS
#1
1X
Draw or Girona Win
@1.19Won
Show 3 more
#2
Ov 0.5 1T
At Least 1 Goal in 1st Half
@1.30Won
#3
1
Girona Win
@1.75Lost
#4
XH (1)
Girona Wins by 1 Goal e.g. 1-0, 2-1 etc.
@3.45Lost

Girona vs Elche probability: 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS Yes/No

SuperPronostici probabilistic model
3/6
WINNERS
Match result238%
Lost
1
X
2
33%
29%
38%
Show 5 more
Over/Under 1.5Ov 1.552%
Won
Un 1.5
Ov 1.5
48%
52%
Over/Under 2.5Un 2.574%
Won
Un 2.5
Ov 2.5
74%
26%
Over/Under 3.5Un 3.590%
Won
Un 3.5
Ov 3.5
90%
10%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)No (BTTS)51%
Lost
Yes (BTTS)
No (BTTS)
49%
51%
Double Chance1271%
Lost
1X
12
X2
62%
71%
67%

Form & absences — Girona vs Elche

Girona#19
Without a win in 5
DLDDL
Elche#15
Scored in last 8 matches
DWLDL
Matchday 3823/05 · 21:00
Maiorca
#18 · 42pt
3-0FT
R. Oviedo
#20 · 29pt

Maiorca vs R. Oviedo prediction

Editorial prediction
3/4
WINNERS
#1
12
Maiorca or R. Oviedo Win
@1.19Won
Show 3 more
#2
Ov 0.5 1T
At Least 1 Goal in 1st Half
@1.35Won
#3
1
Maiorca Win
@1.45Won
#4
Gol
Both Teams to Score
@1.95Lost

Maiorca vs R. Oviedo probability: 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS Yes/No

SuperPronostici probabilistic model
4/6
WINNERS
Match result151%
Won
1
X
2
51%
24%
26%
Show 5 more
Over/Under 1.5Un 1.554%
Lost
Un 1.5
Ov 1.5
54%
46%
Over/Under 2.5Un 2.580%
Lost
Un 2.5
Ov 2.5
80%
20%
Over/Under 3.5Un 3.593%
Won
Un 3.5
Ov 3.5
93%
7%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)No (BTTS)61%
Won
Yes (BTTS)
No (BTTS)
39%
61%
Double Chance1276%
Won
1X
12
X2
74%
76%
49%

Form & absences — Maiorca vs R. Oviedo

Maiorca#18
WLLDW
R. Oviedo#20
3 losses in a row · Without a win in 5
LLLDL
Matchday 3823/05 · 21:00
R. Madrid
#2 · 86pt
4-2FT
A.Bilbao
#12 · 45pt

R. Madrid vs A.Bilbao prediction

Editorial prediction
4/4
WINNERS
#1
Ov 1.5
At Least 2 Goals
@1.11Won
Show 3 more
#2
Ov 0.5 1T
At Least 1 Goal in 1st Half
@1.21Won
#3
Gol
Both Teams to Score
@1.57Won
#4
Ov 3.5
At Least 4 Goals
@2.10Won

R. Madrid vs A.Bilbao probability: 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS Yes/No

SuperPronostici probabilistic model
3/6
WINNERS
Match result164%
Won
1
X
2
64%
16%
20%
Show 5 more
Over/Under 1.5Ov 1.563%
Won
Un 1.5
Ov 1.5
37%
63%
Over/Under 2.5Un 2.564%
Lost
Un 2.5
Ov 2.5
64%
36%
Over/Under 3.5Un 3.583%
Lost
Un 3.5
Ov 3.5
83%
17%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)No (BTTS)64%
Lost
Yes (BTTS)
No (BTTS)
36%
64%
Double Chance1284%
Won
1X
12
X2
81%
84%
36%

Form & absences — R. Madrid vs A.Bilbao

R. Madrid#2
Scored in last 3 matches · 3 wins in a row · Unbeaten in 3
WWWLW
A.Bilbao#12
Without a win in 4
LDLLW
Matchday 3823/05 · 21:00
Valencia
#9 · 49pt
3-1FT
Barcellona
#1 · 94pt

Valencia vs Barcellona prediction

Editorial prediction
0/4
WINNERS
#1
X2
Draw or Barcellona Win
@1.25Lost
Show 3 more
#2
Ov 0.5 1T
At Least 1 Goal in 1st Half
@1.20Lost
#3
2
Barcellona Win
@1.85Lost
#4
2H (-1)
Barcellona Wins by 2 Goals or More e.g. 0-2, 1-3 etc.
@3.10Lost

Valencia vs Barcellona probability: 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS Yes/No

SuperPronostici probabilistic model
3/6
WINNERS
Match result251%
Lost
1
X
2
36%
14%
51%
Show 5 more
Over/Under 1.5Ov 1.579%
Won
Un 1.5
Ov 1.5
21%
79%
Over/Under 2.5Ov 2.555%
Won
Un 2.5
Ov 2.5
45%
55%
Over/Under 3.5Un 3.567%
Lost
Un 3.5
Ov 3.5
67%
33%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)No (BTTS)70%
Lost
Yes (BTTS)
No (BTTS)
30%
70%
Double Chance1286%
Won
1X
12
X2
50%
86%
64%

Form & absences — Valencia vs Barcellona

Valencia#9
Scored in last 4 matches · 3 BTTS in a row · 2 wins in a row
WWDWL
Barcellona#1
LWLWW
Matchday 3824/05 · 21:00
Villarreal
#3 · 72pt
5-1FT
A.Madrid
#4 · 69pt

Villarreal vs A.Madrid prediction

Editorial prediction
4/4
WINNERS
#1
12
Villarreal or A.Madrid Win
@1.24Won
Show 3 more
#2
Ov 0.5 1T
At Least 1 Goal in 1st Half
@1.21Won
#3
Gol
Both Teams to Score
@1.40Won
#4
Ov 2.5
At Least 3 Goals
@1.45Won

Villarreal vs A.Madrid probability: 1X2, Over/Under, BTTS Yes/No

SuperPronostici probabilistic model
3/6
WINNERS
Match result246%
Lost
1
X
2
41%
13%
46%
Show 5 more
Over/Under 1.5Ov 1.557%
Won
Un 1.5
Ov 1.5
43%
57%
Over/Under 2.5Un 2.570%
Lost
Un 2.5
Ov 2.5
70%
30%
Over/Under 3.5Un 3.587%
Lost
Un 3.5
Ov 3.5
87%
13%
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)Yes (BTTS)61%
Won
Yes (BTTS)
No (BTTS)
61%
39%
Double Chance1287%
Won
1X
12
X2
55%
87%
59%

Form & absences — Villarreal vs A.Madrid

Villarreal#3
WLLDW
A.Madrid#4
Scored in last 3 matches
LWWLW

How do you create a bet slip with La Liga predictions?

Use the tool to choose the matches to add to your bet slip and immediately see total odds, number of picks and risk level. You can combine Fil's predictions with the algorithm's suggestions, add or remove picks and find the best mix between safer choices and higher odds.

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La Liga Statistics and Standings 2025/26

Updated standings, average goals and key statistical trends for La Liga teams.

How do you read the La Liga standings?

The table below is updated with points, goals scored and conceded, and the last 5 results for each team. Figures are refreshed after every completed match.

Pos Team MP Pts Form
1 Barcellona 38 94
2 R. Madrid 38 86
3 Villarreal 38 72
4 A.Madrid 38 69
5 Betis 38 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe 38 51
8 R. Vallecano 38 50
9 Valencia 38 49
10 R. Sociedad 38 46
11 Espanyol 38 46
12 A.Bilbao 38 45
13 Siviglia 38 43
14 Alaves 38 43
15 Elche 38 43
16 Levante 38 42
17 Osasuna 38 42
18 Maiorca 38 42
19 Girona 38 41
20 R. Oviedo 38 29
Champions League
Europa League
Conference League
Relegation

How many goals per game on average in La Liga?

The statistics summarise the most relevant figures from the current season: total goals, average per match, top-scoring teams and home/away performance. A quick overview before choosing your predictions.

League averages
2.70
Goals/match
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
43%
No BTTS
49%
1
25%
X
27%
2
Attack & Defense
  • Best attackBarcellona95
  • Worst attackR. Oviedo26
  • Best defenseR. Madrid35
  • Worst defenseLevante61
Active streaks
  • Consecutive winsR. Madrid3
  • Consecutive drawsElche1
  • Consecutive lossesOsasuna5
  • Scoring runAlaves12
  • Scoreless runR. Oviedo5
  • Unbeaten runR. Vallecano7
  • Clean sheet runGetafe1
Season totals
  • Over 2.5 runBetis5
  • Under 2.5 runGirona5
  • BTTS runBetis4
  • No-BTTS runR. Oviedo5
  • Most Over 1.5Villarreal35 (92%)
  • Most Under 1.5Getafe16 (42%)
  • Most Over 2.5Barcellona28 (74%)
  • Most Under 2.5Getafe28 (74%)
  • Most Over 3.5R. Sociedad16 (42%)
  • Most Under 3.5Getafe36 (95%)
  • Most BTTSR. Sociedad30 (79%)
  • Most No BTTSGetafe27 (71%)

How did our La Liga predictions perform in past matchdays?

Here you will find the results from all previous matchdays with the outcome of each prediction. The data lets you verify the reliability of our analysis over time.

La Liga Predictions Archive

Matchday 37

Match Res. #1 #2 #3 #4
A.Bilbao - Celta Vigo 1-1 2 12 Un 3.5 No Gol
A.Madrid - Girona 1-0 1 1X Un 3.5 No Gol
Elche - Getafe 1-0 1 12 Un 3.5 No Gol
Levante - Maiorca 2-0 1 12 Un 3.5 Gol
Osasuna - Espanyol 1-2 1 12 Un 3.5 Gol
R. Oviedo - Alaves 0-1 2 12 Un 3.5 No Gol
R. Sociedad - Valencia 3-4 X X2 Un 3.5 Gol
Siviglia - R. Madrid 0-1 2 12 Ov 1.5 No Gol
R. Vallecano - Villarreal 2-0 X 1X Un 3.5 No Gol
Barcellona - Betis 3-1 1 12 Un 3.5 No Gol

Why trust our predictions?

SuperPronostici.it predictions are tracked across 367 La Liga predictions: prediction #1 is correct 78.2% of the time, #2 hits 69.2%. Our algorithms cross recent form, head-to-head records, home/away performance and real-time odds movements.

You can also count on unique tools such as Ready-Made Coupons, Advanced Statistics (Over/Under, Streaks, Sequences) and the Dropping Odds system with Telegram alerts.

By the SuperPronostici.it editorial team — data-driven analysis since 2018

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Frequently Asked Questions about La Liga Predictions

How are La Liga predictions put together?

Our La Liga predictions are built on a multi-layer analysis: recent form, head-to-head records, home and away performance, injury reports and squad rotation patterns. With 10 matches per matchday across 20 clubs, there are plenty of opportunities to spot market inefficiencies. We focus on identifying value in the odds rather than chasing certainty — because in football, no outcome is guaranteed.

Which betting markets do you cover for La Liga?

We cover all major markets: 1X2 (match result), Over/Under goals, Both Teams to Score, double chance and Asian handicap. La Liga offers a wide tactical spectrum — from high-pressing, goal-heavy sides to defensively disciplined teams — so market selection is always tailored to the specific fixture. El Clásico and Madrid derbies, for example, often produce value in alternative markets rather than the straight result.

What are dropping odds and why do they matter?

Dropping odds occur when bookmakers significantly lower a price, often driven by sharp money from professional bettors or syndicates. For La Liga fixtures, we monitor these movements in real time: a sudden drop on a team's odds can indicate leaked team news, injury updates or informed money entering the market. Combined with our statistical analysis, dropping odds help us validate — or challenge — our initial predictions before kick-off.

How often are La Liga predictions updated?

Predictions are typically published 24–48 hours before kick-off for each La Liga matchday. If significant information emerges — such as a press conference update, a surprise injury or a sharp odds movement — we revise the analysis accordingly. We recommend checking the page on the morning of the match for the most up-to-date assessment before placing any bets.

How do Real Madrid and Barcelona affect the betting markets?

Real Madrid and Barcelona generate enormous betting volume, which can inflate or compress odds in ways that don't always reflect true probabilities. For these fixtures, we often look beyond the 1X2 market — exploring Both Teams to Score, correct score or handicap lines where public bias has less influence. For mid-table and lower-ranked La Liga sides, the match result market frequently offers better value.

Are these predictions a guarantee of winning?

No. Predictions are informed opinions based on data and probability — no one can guarantee the outcome of a football match. Our goal is to give you a well-reasoned perspective that supports smarter betting decisions. Value betting is a long-term strategy: profitability comes from consistent edge over many bets, not from any single result. Always bet responsibly and within your personal limits.

How should I read Fil's 4 picks for each La Liga match?

For La Liga predictions, Fil prepares 4 picks ordered from the safest to the riskiest: #1 is the main choice, #2 is still a fairly solid option, while #3 and #4 look for higher odds with more risk. The evaluation considers recent form when available, motivation, absences, late team news and the match context.