[[pages/dropping-odds-study.hero.h1]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.hero.tldr_lead]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.hero.tldr_body]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.hero.meta_sample]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.hero.meta_window]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.hero.meta_updated]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.hero.meta_source]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.key_findings.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.key_findings.lead]]
- 1 [[pages/dropping-odds-study.key_findings.f1]]
- 2 [[pages/dropping-odds-study.key_findings.f2]]
- 3 [[pages/dropping-odds-study.key_findings.f3]]
- 4 [[pages/dropping-odds-study.key_findings.f4]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.caption]]
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.k_matches]] | 16,102 |
|---|---|
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.k_period]] | 16 Jun 2023 – 5 Jul 2026 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.k_sport]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.v_sport]] |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.k_markets]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.v_markets]] |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.k_signal]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.v_signal]] |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.k_method]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.v_method]] |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.k_update]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.v_update]] |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.k_subset]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.dataset.v_subset]] |
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.verdict.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.verdict.intro]]
- ●[[pages/dropping-odds-study.verdict.bullet_1]]
- ●[[pages/dropping-odds-study.verdict.bullet_2]]
- ●[[pages/dropping-odds-study.verdict.bullet_3]]
- ●[[pages/dropping-odds-study.verdict.bullet_4]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.charts.zone_h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.charts.zone_intro]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.share.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.share.intro]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.share.cite_label]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.share.cite_text]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.share.embed_label]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.share.embed_hint]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.share.data_label]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.share.data_hint]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.share.license]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.what.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.what.p1]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.what.p2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.direction.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.direction.intro]]
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_move]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_win_rate]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_double_opposite]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_sample]] |
|---|---|---|---|
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.move_drift]] | 45.9% | 54.1% | 6,844 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.move_stable]] | 54.5% | 45.5% | 3,266 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.move_drop_2_5]] | 52.2% | 47.8% | 2,383 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.move_drop_5_10]] | 54.5% | 45.5% | 2,137 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.move_drop_10_plus]] | 56.5% | 43.5% | 1,472 |
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.direction.takeaway]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.flip.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.flip.badge_label]][[pages/dropping-odds-study.flip.intro]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.flip.badge_link]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.flip.stat_lead]]
31.6%
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.flip.stat_initial]]
42.2%
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.flip.stat_new]]
27.7%
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.flip.stat_draw]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.flip.takeaway]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.draw_goals.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.draw_goals.intro]]
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_draw_move]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_over15]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_over25]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_draw_rate]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_sample]] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.draw_rises_12]] | 82.6% | 61.4% | 18.5% | 858 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.draw_rises_5_12]] | 78.4% | 56.3% | 23% | 1,802 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.draw_stable]] | 75.2% | 50.4% | 27.1% | 10,096 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.draw_falls_5]] | 74.6% | 50.8% | 26.8% | 3,031 |
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.draw_goals.takeaway]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.btts_myth.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.btts_myth.intro]]
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_band]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_btts]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.col_sample]] |
|---|---|---|
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.move_drift]] | 54.5% | 6,844 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.move_stable]] | 52% | 3,266 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.move_drop_2_5]] | 53.2% | 2,383 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.move_drop_5_10]] | 55.3% | 2,137 |
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.move_drop_10_plus]] | 52.8% | 1,472 |
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.tables.btts_flat_note]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.btts_myth.takeaway]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.intro]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.as_of]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.draw_h3]]
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_date]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_league]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_match]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_draw_odds]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_score]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_over25]] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Ligue 1 | Lyon – Lens | 3.85 → 5 | 0-4 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-17 | Ligue 1 | Nice – Metz | 4.5 → 5.6 | 0-0 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-10 | Serie A | Parma – Roma | 3.7 → 4.4 | 2-3 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-09 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig – St. Pauli | 4.8 → 5.6 | 2-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-04 | Premier League | Chelsea – Nottingham Forest | 3.75 → 4.6 | 1-3 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-03 | Serie A | Juventus – Hellas Verona | 5.8 → 7 | 1-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-02 | Ligue 1 | Metz – Monaco | 4.5 → 5.4 | 1-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-04-26 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre – Metz | 3.45 → 3.95 | 4-4 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-04-25 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse – Monaco | 3.45 → 3.9 | 2-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-04-21 | La Liga | Real Madrid – Alavés | 5.8 → 7.2 | 2-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-04-18 | Ligue 1 | Lorient – Marseille | 3.6 → 4.1 | 2-0 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-04-17 | Ligue 1 | Lens – Toulouse | 4 → 4.6 | 3-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-04-15 | Champions League | Bayern Munich – Real Madrid | 5 → 5.6 | 4-3 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-04-12 | Bundesliga | Stuttgart – Hamburger SV | 4.5 → 5.6 | 4-0 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-03-21 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse – Lorient | 2.8 → 3.25 | 1-0 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.draw_note]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.flip_h3]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.flip.badge_label]]| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_date]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_league]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_match]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_open_fav]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_new_fav]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_score]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_orig_win]] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | La Liga | Getafe – Osasuna | Getafe 2.35 → 3 | Draw @ 2.5 | 1-0 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-16 | Bundesliga | Heidenheim – Mainz | Mainz 2.2 → 3.35 | Heidenheim @ 1.9 | 0-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-16 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin – Augsburg | Union Berlin 2.35 → 2.7 | Augsburg @ 2.25 | 4-0 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-16 | Bundesliga | Freiburg – RB Leipzig | RB Leipzig 2.05 → 2.55 | Freiburg @ 2.4 | 4-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-13 | La Liga | Espanyol – Athletic Club | Athletic Club 2.6 → 2.85 | Draw @ 2.8 | 2-0 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-12 | La Liga | Osasuna – Atlético Madrid | Osasuna 2.55 → 2.65 | Atlético Madrid @ 2.55 | 1-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-10 | Premier League | Crystal Palace – Everton | Crystal Palace 2.65 → 2.75 | Everton @ 2.6 | 2-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-10 | Premier League | Nottingham Forest – Newcastle | Nottingham Forest 2.45 → 3.4 | Newcastle @ 2.15 | 1-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-09 | Premier League | Fulham – Bournemouth | Fulham 2.55 → 2.7 | Bournemouth @ 2.5 | 0-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-03 | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg – Toulouse | Strasbourg 2.4 → 2.9 | Toulouse @ 2.3 | 1-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-02 | Premier League | Newcastle – Brighton | Newcastle 2.5 → 2.7 | Brighton @ 2.5 | 3-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-02 | La Liga | Alavés – Athletic Club | Alavés 2.5 → 2.75 | Athletic Club @ 2.6 | 2-4 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.flip_note]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.drift_h3]]
| [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_date]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_league]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_match]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_drift_fav]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_score]] | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.col_fav_win]] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain – Arsenal | Paris Saint-Germain 2.25 → 2.35 | 1-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-26 | Ligue 1 | Saint-Étienne – Nice | Saint-Étienne 2.3 → 2.5 | 0-0 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-24 | Premier League | Fulham – Newcastle | Newcastle 2.25 → 2.55 | 2-0 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-24 | Premier League | Liverpool – Brentford | Liverpool 1.78 → 1.83 | 1-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-24 | Premier League | Crystal Palace – Arsenal | Arsenal 1.82 → 1.9 | 1-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-24 | Serie A | Lecce – Genoa | Lecce 1.68 → 1.85 | 1-0 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-24 | Serie A | Torino – Juventus | Juventus 1.38 → 1.47 | 2-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-24 | Serie A | Hellas Verona – Roma | Roma 1.3 → 1.35 | 0-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-23 | Serie A | Lazio – Pisa | Lazio 1.48 → 1.73 | 2-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-23 | La Liga | Real Madrid – Athletic Club | Real Madrid 1.43 → 1.53 | 4-2 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.yes]] |
| 2026-05-23 | La Liga | Espanyol – Real Sociedad | Espanyol 2.2 → 2.45 | 1-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
| 2026-05-23 | La Liga | Valencia – Barcelona | Barcelona 1.82 → 1.92 | 3-1 | [[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.no]] |
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.examples.drift_note]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.howto.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.howto.intro]]
- [[pages/dropping-odds-study.howto.rule_1]]
- [[pages/dropping-odds-study.howto.rule_2]]
- [[pages/dropping-odds-study.howto.rule_3]]
- [[pages/dropping-odds-study.howto.rule_4]]
- [[pages/dropping-odds-study.howto.rule_5]]
- [[pages/dropping-odds-study.howto.rule_6]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.live.badge]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.live.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.live.intro]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.live.as_of]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.live.empty]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.live.monitor]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.tool_cta.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.tool_cta.p]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.method.h2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.method.p1]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.method.p2]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.method.p3]]
[[pages/dropping-odds-study.method.p4]]